Should President Trump Let North Korea Keep A Regional Nuclear Strike Capability?
|That is what this article in the Politico suggests that President Trump is planning to do:
Taking Trump at his word during the campaign—when he decried U.S. allies Japan and South Korea as ungrateful free-riders—it would be reasonable to conclude that Trump is willing to forsake U.S. allies in the region by getting Kim to agree to negotiate away his ICBMs but ultimately leave Kim with a regional nuclear strike capability. Nuclear scholars have worried that a North Korean ICBM capability would “decouple” the United States from South Korea—the question of whether America would trade Seattle for Seoul in a nuclear conflict is a rhetorical one. We know the answer. The irony of a nuclear deal between Kim and Trump may actually be that true decoupling will happen when North Korea retains only the ability to strike U.S. allies but not the United States. Kim can simultaneously give a nod in the direction of denuclearization, remove the imminent threat to the U.S. homeland posed by his ICBMs, and expand a wedge between the United States and its allies. [Politico]
You can read more at the link, but considering that President Trump has stressed denuclearization repeatedly he would have a hard time agreeing to allowing North Korea to keep nuclear weapons that they can use to strike an ally like Japan and US bases in the region.
If nK gets to keep anything it is a loss. All nukes taken, all chem/bio munitions destroyed, all missiles crushed, 100% verified, every facility open and inspected; if this isn’t the agreement then South Korea has lost.
That seems the best deal for American.
Get rid of the ICBMs so there is no threat to America. Let NK keep some inspected and accounted-for nukes for their own mental health.
Let the stress of their existence be a reminder for complacent regional allies whose continued security dependence keeps American fingers in the regional pot.
And let their existence keep frenimies such as China and Russia distracted, unsure, and in line.
Hmmm.
Didn’t think I wpuld be advocating for a nuclear North Korea…
…but perhaps I wouldn’t have it any other way.
Any downsides to this line of thinking?
(It is 7:20am… so kinda early for rational thought)
North Korea will sell nukes to Venezuela, Cuba, Mexican Drug Cartels, ISIS, and Iran.
But other than that, not too many negatives…
Nothing ever stays regional…
Hmmm. Maybe so. Will consider further.