Victor Cha Predicts Nuclear Deal with North Korea By Christmas and USFK Troop Withdrawals
Long time Korea analyst Victor Cha is making some bold predictions:
But there is bigger storm brewing behind these dark clouds that is threatening to the core of the U.S.-South Korea alliance. It has three components. The first is a nuclear deal with North Korea that is almost certain before Christmas now that John Bolton, the most influential voice in the Hanoi summit’s collapse, is out of the White House. This deal will probably not be a good one, in that its scope will be limited mostly to the Yongbyon nuclear facility; it will not be verifiable; and the U.S. will give too much in lifting sanctions.
But both presidents Moon Jae-in and Donald Trump, who have both staked so much of their credibility on a deal with Kim, will not just accept a suboptimal deal, but will declare with it an end to hostilities on the Korean Peninsula in the form of a peace declaration. (……)
The perfect storm in the winter of 2019-2020, therefore, is a peace deal with North Korea and a failed cost-sharing negotiation that causes Trump to act on his beliefs. Specifically, his anger over Seoul’s refusal to pay no more than a fraction of the demand, coupled with an end-of-war declaration, will cause Trump to act on his 30-year long instinct to draw down or fully withdraw forces from South Korea. As ludicrous as this scenario may sound to experts, Trump would boast that the deal with North Korea is the “best deal ever” with his good friend Kim Jong-un; that he has ended the Korean War; and that he can now “bring the boys home” because there is peace in South Korea and the “ungrateful” South Koreans do not want to pay for U.S. troops. Moreover, he will tell his political base during the campaign that this move is saving money wasted on foreigners and therefore he is putting “America first.”
Chosun Ilbo
You can read more at the link.
This is a great deal for the American tax payers. And most Koreans want us out. Everybody wins especially the North Koreans.
Yes Doug, that would be a great deal for American tax payers!
Until a mini North Korean nuclear bomb funded and organized by ISIS blows up in New York.
“GreatAmericanDealDougSaysSo” is another of our gormless, feckless, amateur trolls. We really deserve at least the JV, not the 12 year olds. I’m very disappointed in what the seminars are turning out these days.
Dude, you need to learn to couch your pusillanimous hatred of everyone with bigger equipment in more subtle shades of humor. For example, you could mock Cha as completely misreading both the Mike Pompeo (who is not Madeline Halfbright) and the Orange Man (who is not screwing his interns with cigars). Or you could claim that the DeePerk will offer in good faith and Drumph will screw it up. Alternately, you could write Kim fanboy pr0n about how only Joe Bidet or Bernie Sandersnita can flush the problem away.
I mean, eat more roughage, get that fecal blockage solved, and start enjoying life. Kimchi is good for you…
Trump speaks loudly and carries a small stick. Kim Jong Un knows Trump is a wuss who will not launch a pre-emptive strike on the DPRK.
Asking for a Preemptive Strike from his living room in lower Alabama…
So which of the hundreds of expert Trump doomsday predictions have actually come true in the last three years?
Mooseknuckle, you’ve got to ask RockMarne. He’s the know it all.