Analysts Believe October Will See Another North Korea Provocation

It seems like every month now there is at least one North Korean provocation so why would October be any different?:

North Korea could carry out provocative acts in October when the country marks the anniversaries of its party’s foundation and a former ruler’s ascent to power, and China opens a key party meeting, experts said Sunday.

North Korea has used important national occasions as pretexts for military provocations and a show of force.

South Korean presidential office Cheong Wa Dae has recently raised the possibility that North Korea may launch a provocation on Oct. 10, the 72nd founding anniversary of the ruling Workers’ Party of Korea (WPK).  [Korea Herald]

You can read more at the link, but in the article there is speculation that the Kim regime could use October 4th as a date to launch a missile because it is the 10-year anniversary of when former President Roh Moo-hyun met with Kim Jong-il in North Korea.  The current ROK President Moon Jae-in was Roh’s chief of staff at the time.  If Kim Jong-un really wants to make a point to President Moon that reconciliation is not going to happen on the South’s terms then a provocation on that date would be a way of doing that.

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Liz
Liz
7 years ago

“It seems like every month now there is at least one North Korean provocation so why would October be any different?”

It’s a pretty easy call. LOL
Unless that nuclear mountain collapses. That might set the program back a bit.

Smokes at Work
Smokes at Work
7 years ago

I want to be an expert analyst too! I have researched the situation and have determined that the secret to solving North Korea is actually China, not North Korea. Also there will be a provocation of some kind in the near future.

MTB Rider
MTB Rider
7 years ago

I always thought they wrapped up for the year in September, and were reasonably quiet until February/March? They usually have their Tribute by now, then have to bring in the harvest, chop firewood and make charcoal for the winter before starting all over again.

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